Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.706223 0.906214 1.131223 1.400141 1.709821 2.052436 2.457284
2025-05-04 0.419056 0.662550 0.973045 1.384183 1.900715 2.515426 3.289301
2025-05-11 0.239830 0.481089 0.832519 1.345856 2.042196 2.922145 4.085900
2025-05-18 0.143906 0.372868 0.753551 1.360882 2.239121 3.402653 4.999693
2025-05-25 0.076999 0.274645 0.656694 1.324080 2.350255 3.769810 5.783115
2025-06-01 0.048693 0.233579 0.639131 1.398366 2.618451 4.357371 6.878400
2025-06-08 0.025644 0.183719 0.587700 1.404131 2.778263 4.796855 7.787683
2025-06-15 0.016325 0.165281 0.592975 1.505051 3.088565 5.461047 9.025446
2025-06-22 0.008894 0.141951 0.578844 1.565840 3.335249 6.039519 10.158961
2025-06-29 0.003894 0.117004 0.550872 1.593633 3.525859 6.538771 11.191789
2025-07-06 0.000944 0.087843 0.497771 1.560357 3.606813 6.871497 11.991442
2025-07-13 0.000165 0.071499 0.474123 1.582966 3.782744 7.352560 13.014952
2025-07-20 0.000002 0.056832 0.449091 1.600748 3.955284 7.841836 14.075782
2025-07-27 NaN 0.039394 0.400234 1.554077 4.005510 8.138830 14.860175
2025-08-03 NaN 0.025679 0.352186 1.497942 4.030896 8.393988 15.586192
2025-08-10 NaN 0.018888 0.331309 1.506543 4.179550 8.853236 16.630102
2025-08-17 NaN 0.011634 0.294577 1.463254 4.220496 9.133268 17.404206
2025-08-24 NaN 0.010112 0.299734 1.540710 4.509515 9.836642 18.844104
2025-08-31 NaN 0.006860 0.281877 1.545815 4.648800 10.289245 19.902152
2025-09-07 NaN 0.006563 0.296265 1.652951 5.006340 11.122496 21.567453
2025-09-14 NaN 0.005382 0.297255 1.717440 5.276049 11.810265 23.014615
2025-09-21 NaN 0.003830 0.287980 1.746885 5.471805 12.374236 24.275257
2025-09-28 NaN 0.001955 0.261117 1.711363 5.523972 12.688664 25.145651